Post vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 0
POS
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
POS
4 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DON
0 - 3
POS
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
POS
2 - 0
SKS
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
GER
2 - 5
POS
27%
24%
48%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 2
STA
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 4
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
DON
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
REN
1 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 3
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |