Post vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 1
POS
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POS
0 - 2
AUS
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
OST
2 - 3
POS
39%
25%
37%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
POS
4 - 1
FIR
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
POS
7 - 2
SCF
81%
13%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DON
2 - 2
SIM
84%
11%
4%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DON
0 - 2
DON
28%
24%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DON
2 - 1
WIE
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 2
DON
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
DON
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |