Post vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
16º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POS
1 - 3
ASV
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
POS
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
POS
2 - 2
WIE
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
6 - 0
POS
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POS
2 - 3
FCW
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DON
0 - 0
STA
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WIE
0 - 3
DON
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DON
0 - 3
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 1
DON
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DON
0 - 2
SVH
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |