Venezuela League U20 Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Portuguesa U20 vs La Guaira U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 4
POR
22%
25%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DLA
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 3
DGU
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DGU
1 - 0
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DPE
0 - 0
DGU
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 2
DGU
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
DGU
3 - 0
MIN
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |