Portuguesa Santista vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 4
SAO
6%
14%
80%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 3
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
SAO
5 - 0
POR
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AME
0 - 2
SAO
6%
14%
80%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
AME
5 - 1
JUV
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AME
2 - 3
COR
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |