Carioca 1 Guanabara Cup Round 1

Portuguesa RJ vs Bangu analysis

Portuguesa RJ Bangu
65 ELO 48
5% Tilt -21%
2708º General ELO ranking 5754º
75º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
81.4%
Portuguesa RJ
13.2%
Draw
5.4%
Bangu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.4%
Win probability
Bangu
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portuguesa RJ
+5%
+43%
Bangu

ELO progression

Portuguesa RJ
Bangu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2023
POR
Portuguesa RJ
3 - 0
Olaria
OLA
70%
18%
12%
64 54 10 0
11 Oct. 2023
OLA
Olaria
2 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
22%
27%
51%
64 54 10 0
05 Oct. 2023
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
13%
23%
63%
65 47 18 -1
29 Sep. 2023
POR
Portuguesa RJ
3 - 2
Serrano FC
SFC
79%
15%
7%
64 46 18 +1
22 Sep. 2023
POR
Portuguesa RJ
3 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
83%
12%
4%
64 39 25 0

Matches

Bangu
Bangu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2023
BAN
Bangu
0 - 2
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
65%
22%
14%
49 39 10 0
30 Aug. 2023
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
0 - 1
Bangu
BAN
25%
26%
49%
48 40 8 +1
09 Mar. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Bangu
BAN
86%
11%
3%
49 76 27 -1
04 Mar. 2023
BAN
Bangu
0 - 5
Fluminense
FLU
5%
20%
75%
49 87 38 0
26 Feb. 2023
BAN
Bangu
0 - 4
Volta Redonda
VOL
12%
20%
68%
50 63 13 -1