Venezuelan Cup . 1/16
Global 3-4
Portuguesa FC vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ANZ
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 2
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
APC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
ULA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
LLA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
URE
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
4 - 1
ZUL
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |