Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 4
POR
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
URE
1 - 3
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
CDS
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 4
LAR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
LAR
4 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 0
ZUL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
LAR
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
LAR
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |