UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals

Portugal U21 vs Países Bajos U21 analysis

Portugal U21 Países Bajos U21
82 ELO 79
14.4% Tilt 14.7%
414º General ELO ranking 698º
10º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Portugal U21
21.7%
Draw
25.7%
Países Bajos U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
Portugal U21
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.7%
Win probability
Países Bajos U21
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U21
-6%
+13%
Países Bajos U21

ELO progression

Portugal U21
Países Bajos U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U21
Portugal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jun. 2025
GEO
Georgia U21
0 - 4
Portugal U21
POR
14%
18%
67%
83 62 21 0
14 Jun. 2025
POR
Portugal U21
5 - 0
Polonia U21
POL
68%
18%
14%
82 66 16 +1
11 Jun. 2025
POR
Portugal U21
0 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
45%
22%
33%
82 82 0 0
24 Mar. 2025
ENG
Inglaterra U21
4 - 2
Portugal U21
POR
53%
21%
26%
83 83 0 -1
21 Mar. 2025
POR
Portugal U21
0 - 1
Rumanía U21
ROU
79%
14%
7%
83 66 17 0

Matches

Países Bajos U21
Países Bajos U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2025
NED
Países Bajos U21
2 - 0
Ucrania U21
UKR
54%
23%
23%
78 71 7 0
15 Jun. 2025
NED
Países Bajos U21
1 - 2
Dinamarca U21
DEN
54%
23%
23%
79 73 6 -1
12 Jun. 2025
FIN
Finlandia U21
2 - 2
Países Bajos U21
NED
13%
18%
69%
79 58 21 0
06 Jun. 2025
NED
Países Bajos U21
3 - 0
Costa de Marfil U21
CIV
82%
12%
6%
79 26 53 0
25 Mar. 2025
ROU
Rumanía U21
0 - 2
Países Bajos U21
NED
20%
22%
59%
79 67 12 0