Portugal U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
PRT
0 - 1
ITA
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
PRT
2 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 1
PRT
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
PRT
3 - 0
LVA
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
RUS
0 - 1
PRT
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
HRV
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 1
SVK
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
FRA
2 - 1
ENG
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 1
FRA
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
FRA
2 - 0
CYP
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |