Portugal U20 vs Marruecos U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 5
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
NED
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
NED
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
NZL
81%
15%
5%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Marruecos U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 5
POR
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
59%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
MEX
26%
23%
52%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |