Portugal U20 vs South Korea U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PRT
1 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 5
PRT
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRT
1 - 1
NLD
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PRT
1 - 1
NLD
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
PRT
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
IRQ
3 - 3
KOR
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
KOR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 1
NGA
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
PRT
2 - 2
KOR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
CUB
1 - 2
KOR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |