U-17 Euro Qualification Grupo 5 round 1

Portugal U17 vs Montenegro U17 analysis

Portugal U17 Montenegro U17
58 ELO 36
-7.5% Tilt 3%
2110º General ELO ranking 8474º
40º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
72.7%
Portugal U17
17.4%
Draw
9.9%
Montenegro U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
Portugal U17
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
Montenegro U17
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U17
+53%
+35%
Montenegro U17

ELO progression

Portugal U17
Montenegro U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U17
Portugal U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2010
POR
Portugal U17
2 - 0
Azerbaijan U17
AZE
69%
19%
12%
58 43 15 0
24 May. 2010
ESP
Spain U17
2 - 0
Portugal U17
POR
70%
18%
12%
58 69 11 0
21 May. 2010
FRA
France U17
1 - 0
Portugal U17
POR
48%
24%
28%
59 61 2 -1
18 May. 2010
POR
Portugal U17
3 - 0
Switzerland U17
SUI
42%
25%
33%
57 58 1 +2
24 Mar. 2010
CRO
Croatia U17
0 - 2
Portugal U17
POR
49%
23%
28%
57 58 1 0

Matches

Montenegro U17
Montenegro U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2010
NIR
Northern Ireland U17
0 - 0
Montenegro U17
MNE
62%
21%
18%
36 45 9 0
28 Sep. 2009
DEN
Denmark U17
8 - 1
Montenegro U17
MNE
67%
20%
14%
36 50 14 0
25 Sep. 2009
MNE
Montenegro U17
1 - 1
Belgium U17
BEL
20%
22%
58%
36 55 19 0
23 Sep. 2009
CRO
Croatia U17
1 - 1
Montenegro U17
MNE
75%
16%
9%
35 56 21 +1
27 Sep. 2008
MNE
Montenegro U17
1 - 2
Bulgaria U17
BGR
48%
24%
29%
36 37 1 -1