Portsmouth vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 1
OPA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
OPA
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 1
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 1
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
OPA
2 - 1
COV
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
4 - 1
DON
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BPO
0 - 0
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
LEE
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 2
WAT
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |