Portsmouth vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
BUR
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 5
SUN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
LEI
6 - 2
OPA
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
OPA
2 - 1
WHU
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 0
MUD
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 1
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
4 - 0
HUR
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |