Portsmouth vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BPO
1 - 2
OPA
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OPA
1 - 0
LUT
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
OPA
1 - 1
UTR
15%
18%
67%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 5
OPA
11%
18%
72%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 2
OPA
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 0
COV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FLE
0 - 1
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
AFC
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
HAV
4 - 1
AFC
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
BHA
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |