Portsmouth vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
0 - 1
OXF
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
2 - 1
IPS
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 2
OPA
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
3 - 0
CRA
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
OPA
0 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 3
WHU
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BIR
1 - 2
BOU
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 0
BOU
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |