Portsmouth vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 0
OPA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
OPA
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 2
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
3 - 3
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
OPA
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
BCF
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
NOR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
STA
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |