III Divisao Madeira Group Round 18

Portosantense vs Machico analysis

Portosantense Machico
25 ELO 25
5.2% Tilt -0.5%
21056º General ELO ranking 7480º
376º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Portosantense
21.1%
Draw
20.3%
Machico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Portosantense
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.3%
Win probability
Machico
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portosantense
+41%
+681%
Machico

ELO progression

Portosantense
Machico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portosantense
Portosantense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
AND
CF Andorinha
0 - 1
Portosantense
POR
18%
22%
60%
25 15 10 0
08 Feb. 2012
SAN
Santana
1 - 1
Portosantense
POR
12%
19%
70%
26 11 15 -1
29 Jan. 2012
CRU
Cruzado Canicense
1 - 3
Portosantense
POR
16%
21%
64%
25 13 12 +1
18 Dec. 2011
POR
Portosantense
6 - 0
Câmara de Lobos
CAM
71%
17%
12%
25 19 6 0
11 Dec. 2011
POR
Portosantense
1 - 2
Caniçal
CAN
35%
24%
42%
26 32 6 -1

Matches

Machico
Machico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2012
CAL
Calheta
1 - 1
Machico
MAC
29%
25%
46%
24 18 6 0
05 Feb. 2012
MAC
Machico
4 - 1
CF Andorinha
AND
73%
16%
11%
24 16 8 0
29 Jan. 2012
BAR
Bairro da Argentina
0 - 0
Machico
MAC
20%
23%
57%
24 14 10 0
22 Jan. 2012
MAC
Machico
0 - 0
Cruzado Canicense
CRU
81%
13%
6%
24 13 11 0
08 Jan. 2012
1MA
1º Maio Funchal
1 - 2
Machico
MAC
27%
24%
50%
24 17 7 0