Portol vs Calvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ACM
4 - 1
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
POR
42%
22%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CMI
3 - 1
POR
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
FLN
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ART
2 - 4
POR
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 3
PLA
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
CAL
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CAL
6 - 0
ART
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PET
3 - 1
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
MUR
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |