Portol vs Algaida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LLO
2 - 1
POR
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
MON
38%
23%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 2
POR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
BSF
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
POR
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 3
PCR
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
ALG
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 2
SLL
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
ALG
44%
23%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 2
SCA
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |