CA Porto vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 3
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
POR
2 - 4
ICA
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
NAU
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 3
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 0
BOT
23%
24%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 1
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 0
TRE
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 5
BOT
24%
22%
55%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |