Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
TUL
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
RGV
1 - 1
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
SEA
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
SAC
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
COL
4 - 1
POR
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
USA
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
RGV
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SPK
2 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
OKC
2 - 0
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |