Portland Phoenix vs Connecticut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SEA
1 - 3
POR
26%
23%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
WES
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
WES
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAC
0 - 2
POR
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GBF
3 - 4
POR
53%
20%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SEA
4 - 3
CAC
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
WES
4 - 0
CAC
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 2
MSC
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MSC
5 - 1
CAC
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAC
0 - 1
SEA
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -2 |