Portimonense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 1
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
LEX
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 1
POR
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
NAV
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
ATL
52%
22%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 2
ARO
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |