Cymru Alliance Round 24

Porthmadog vs Welshpool Town FC analysis

Porthmadog Welshpool Town FC
33 ELO 28
10.8% Tilt 6.8%
8975º General ELO ranking 19851º
62º Country ELO ranking 109º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Porthmadog
16%
Draw
10.4%
Welshpool Town FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
Porthmadog
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.4%
Win probability
Welshpool Town FC
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Porthmadog
Welshpool Town FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porthmadog
Porthmadog
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2011
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 2
Porthmadog
POR
79%
14%
7%
33 49 16 0
05 Feb. 2011
POR
Porthmadog
4 - 0
Rhydymwyn FC
RHY
85%
11%
5%
32 17 15 +1
15 Jan. 2011
LLA
Llandudno FC
5 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
56%
23%
21%
34 37 3 -2
08 Jan. 2011
POR
Porthmadog
1 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
30%
25%
45%
36 46 10 -2
03 Jan. 2011
RHY
Rhyl FC
1 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
82%
12%
6%
36 54 18 0

Matches

Welshpool Town FC
Welshpool Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2011
WEL
Welshpool Town FC
3 - 0
Llandudno FC
LLA
29%
23%
47%
23 38 15 0
05 Feb. 2011
WEL
Welshpool Town FC
2 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
18%
22%
60%
24 48 24 -1
15 Jan. 2011
WEL
Welshpool Town FC
4 - 4
Flint Town United
FLI
24%
21%
55%
23 38 15 +1
03 Jan. 2011
WEL
Welshpool Town FC
2 - 0
Rhayader Town FC
RHA
52%
22%
26%
22 30 8 +1
11 Dec. 2010
BUC
Buckley Town
2 - 1
Welshpool Town FC
WEL
71%
17%
12%
22 28 6 0