Porthmadog vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 4
ABE
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
WEL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
WEL
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CWM
3 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 3
CWM
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
WEL
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |