Porthmadog vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
RHY
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
CAE
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 7
POR
18%
18%
65%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
POR
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
4 - 1
LLA
84%
10%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 2
HOL
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
RTW
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 4
HOL
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HOL
3 - 1
PEN
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |