Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
HAR
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 4
AUN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 3
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
KNO
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 4
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |