Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
HAR
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
LIM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 3
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
BAL
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
MOY
1 - 1
INS
31%
23%
47%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
LCE
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
INS
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |