Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 2
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
POR
3 - 1
KNO
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |