Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
CLI
0 - 3
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
OMA
1 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
LIN
0 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
ARD
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
INS
1 - 1
CLI
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 0
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
INS
0 - 1
LIS
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
GLE
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |