Portadown vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
POR
25%
22%
52%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
POR
6 - 0
KRF
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
POR
5 - 0
LOU
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
BMF
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
LOU
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
LOU
35%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 3
COA
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LIM
1 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAR
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |