As du Port vs Tadjourah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As du Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
0 - 2
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 3
ASA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
ONE
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DIK
1 - 4
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tadjourah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 3
TAD
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
ONE
0 - 5
TAD
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
3 - 1
TAD
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 0
TAD
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 2
TAD
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |