As du Port vs Gendarmerie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As du Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
GUE
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
POR
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 1
POR
3%
11%
86%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
APE
1 - 14
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Gendarmerie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 0
ASA
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ARH
0 - 5
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
CDE
1 - 1
GEN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 0
GEN
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ONE
1 - 1
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |