Port Vila vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AUC
8 - 1
PVS
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PVS
0 - 2
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
PVS
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 71 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAI
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |