Port Vale vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
TOT
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
0 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 1
POR
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 3
SWA
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
SWA
4 - 2
BOU
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
POS
1 - 0
SWA
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SWA
2 - 0
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |