Port Vale vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
POR
5 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
SCU
2 - 0
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
POR
1 - 3
WAL
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
STE
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
STE
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 1
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
STE
2 - 2
MOR
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |