Port Vale vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
CAM
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GRI
5 - 2
POR
49%
28%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
FOR
26%
26%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
BUR
15%
19%
67%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
IPS
3 - 0
STF
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
STF
0 - 0
BUR
33%
27%
39%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
STA
2 - 3
STF
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
STF
0 - 0
ROC
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
STF
0 - 4
ROT
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |