Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
GRI
4 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
OPA
0 - 2
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
POR
0 - 1
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
BRI
0 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1994 |
MID
2 - 1
WBA
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
MID
2 - 2
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
WAT
1 - 1
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
DER
0 - 1
MID
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
MID
1 - 0
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |