Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
SUN
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
OXF
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
POR
0 - 2
OPA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
SUN
3 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
POR
1 - 2
IPS
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1992 |
SHW
1 - 2
MID
77%
15%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
MIL
2 - 0
MID
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
MID
1 - 0
IPS
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1992 |
POS
0 - 0
MID
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
MID
2 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |