Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
MID
5 - 1
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
BRI
2 - 1
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
SWA
2 - 0
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
POR
1 - 0
BPO
59%
20%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
MID
5 - 1
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
GRI
1 - 4
MID
42%
23%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
MID
3 - 1
BRI
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
NTT
1 - 1
MID
37%
23%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
MID
1 - 1
WBA
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |