Port Vale vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1899 |
ARS
1 - 0
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1899 |
GRI
3 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1899 |
NEW
1 - 0
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1899 |
POR
1 - 0
MUD
30%
25%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
WAL
6 - 0
LUT
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1899 |
LUT
0 - 2
GLO
41%
24%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1899 |
MAC
2 - 0
LUT
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1899 |
LUT
4 - 2
GAI
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1899 |
LUT
1 - 6
LEI
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |