Port Vale vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
LIN
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
CRA
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 2
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
LUT
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
CUM
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 0
CUM
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 1
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
CUM
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |