Carabao Cup 1/64

Port Vale vs Burton Albion analysis

Port Vale Burton Albion
50 ELO 63
-1.4% Tilt -18.1%
2680º General ELO ranking 3084º
68º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
14.5%
Port Vale
18.9%
Draw
66.5%
Burton Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
Port Vale
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.5%
Win probability
Burton Albion
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Port Vale
Burton Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2019
POR
Port Vale
1 - 1
Northampton
NOR
31%
26%
44%
50 56 6 0
03 Aug. 2019
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Port Vale
POR
65%
21%
14%
50 57 7 0
27 Jul. 2019
POR
Port Vale
1 - 2
Bury
BCF
20%
22%
58%
49 60 11 +1
20 Jul. 2019
POR
Port Vale
1 - 3
Burnley
BUR
7%
16%
77%
49 83 34 0
17 Jul. 2019
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
24%
24%
51%
49 58 9 0

Matches

Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2019
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 2
Burton Albion
BUR
38%
26%
36%
63 59 4 0
03 Aug. 2019
BUR
Burton Albion
0 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
61%
23%
17%
63 57 6 0
29 Jul. 2019
NUN
Nuneaton Town
4 - 4
Burton Albion
BUR
5%
14%
81%
62 21 41 +1
27 Jul. 2019
CHE
Chesterfield
2 - 5
Burton Albion
BUR
18%
22%
60%
62 49 13 0
24 Jul. 2019
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
2 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
6%
15%
79%
62 31 31 0