Port Vale vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1900 |
MID
4 - 0
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1900 |
POR
0 - 0
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1900 |
MUD
4 - 0
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1900 |
POR
2 - 0
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1900 |
GRI
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1900 |
CHE
1 - 3
BUR
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1900 |
BUR
2 - 0
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1900 |
GLO
0 - 1
BUR
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1900 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUD
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1900 |
LIN
2 - 0
BUR
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |