Port Vale vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
SWA
2 - 0
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
POR
1 - 0
BPO
59%
20%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
CHL
3 - 3
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
POR
3 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
GRI
3 - 1
POR
57%
21%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
BRA
4 - 0
MIL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
NOT
3 - 3
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
BRA
4 - 1
WOL
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRA
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
BRA
5 - 1
HUL
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |