Port Melbourne Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
OAK
1 - 1
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 1
POR
37%
24%
40%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
BUL
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
HUM
1 - 0
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
AVH
0 - 1
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
API
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
API
6 - 2
SUT
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SYD
1 - 5
API
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
API
4 - 1
ROC
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 2
API
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |