Port Layola vs Wagiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
3º
3º
6
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
PRO
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SPP
0 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BDC
1 - 1
PLA
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
PLA
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
WAG
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WAG
1 - 2
BDC
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WAG
1 - 3
HAN
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 1
WAG
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |