Belize Playoffs - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Port Layola vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
8 - 4
WAG
79%
12%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 3
BDC
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 1
PLA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
BDC
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 1
POL
48%
21%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |